The hullabaloo about lockdowns

The hullabaloo about lockdowns

Did the nationwide lockdowns since March 25, 2020 helped India curb the rapid spread of the dreaded Covid 19? This only time will tell, however, it is undeniable that at the time it seemed the best option to ensure people’s safety considering how the disease was wreaking havoc globally with even the most advanced nations staring in abyss as Coronavirus steadily decimated its victims.
But after almost three months of near global shutdown resulting in deeper economic crisis, governments have gradually started opening their economies. The government of India while observing lockdown 4.0 has also started easing restrictions to re-start economic activities and post May 31, it will take a fresh look at the strategy as there is no let up in Covid-19 crisis with cases continuing to spike menacingly figuring at 1.55 lakh and around 4,500 deaths in the country. India stands at number 10 among the wors May 28, 2020
Did the nationwide lockdowns since March 25, 2020 helped India curb the rapid spread of the dreaded Covid 19? This only time will tell, however, it is undeniable that at the time it seemed the best option to ensure people’s safety considering how the disease was wreaking havoc globally with even the most advanced nations staring in abyss as Coronavirus steadily decimated its victims.
But after almost three months of near global shutdown resulting in deeper economic crisis, governments have gradually started opening their economies. The government of India while observing lockdown 4.0 has also started easing restrictions to re-start economic activities and post May 31, it will take a fresh look at the strategy as there is no let up in Covid-19 crisis with cases continuing to spike menacingly
figuring at 1.55 lakh and around 4,500 deaths in the country. India stands at number 10 among the w
t Covid-hit nations.


The commercial hub Mumbai in Maharashtra, Gujarat and Tamil Nadu being the worst have so far failed to check the spread and there are no signs of flattening the curve. Maharashtra, Gujarat and Tamil Nadu have to be blamed for under preparation besides other reasons.
Top medical expert and AIIMS Director Dr R.K. Guleria says the peak will happen till June end but we are certainly better prepared to fight the pandemic with gradual improvement in the health infrastructural facilities.
The Government of India still claims “It is perhaps due to the restraint exercised by the citizens, guided by the cautious and meticulous approach that despite being the second most populous country, the contagion has been contained to a number that is significantly lower than in many other nations”. The lockdown that came into effect on March 25 has led to minimal incidence of the pandemic.
“Bearing in mind the slowing down of the rate at which the cases were doubling, the measures that have helped and are likely to strengthen our hands further in the fight against COVID-19 merit attention”, a top government official claims.
On a day former Congress president Rahul Gandhi attacked the government that lockdown had been a failure, the Chief Economic Adviser Dr Krishnamurthy Subramanian, in an interview to NDTV, strongly defended the lockdown saying “what if we hadn’t had the lockdown, we may have had about 70,000 deaths and lakhs of cases.”
Experts argue India with 1.4 billion population can not be equated with countries like Sweden with just over one crore population or South Korea with five crores plus where better healthcare infrastructure coupled with health protocols like hand hygiene, social distancing helped them cope up with the crisis in initial days. Developed countries across the world fought the pandemic with different strategies and even US, which tops the tally of Corona pandemic both in infection and deaths, completely failed to control it.
At a time when millions of people have been displaced, businesses shuttered, educational institutions closed, hotels and restaurants shut and job losses, the lockdown looked like a problem for country’s economy but keeping in mind the available health infrastructure the government perhaps had no option but to go for it to slow down the pandemic.
Meanwhile, the poor have been hit like never before and the states and Centre were caught napping with reversef in large numbers. Pandemic is being tackled on mathematical models, which show a peak and then flattening of the curve. India is yet to witness peak – till June end hence precautions were necessary and gradual restoration of the economic activities is the only way to tackle the dual crisis.
India’s overall ‘cluster-containment’ strategy has certainly done better to possible large scale spread but states like Kerala, Rajasthan, Oddisa and Uttar Pradesh, due to their better preparedness and strategy, proved as model states in the country. Kerala based on their SARS experience flattened the curve via the creation of a contagion route map while Odisha’s susceptibility to natural disaster gave it an advantage in crisis preparedness.
The communist run government was first to open the economic activity. Rajasthan’s Bhilwara containment strategy proved as a model for others while Uttar Pradesh, India’s largest populous state, prepared well with Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath forming Team-11 of top bureaucrats who guided him well to face the challenge.
It is easy to criticize any strategy but Union Health Ministry has to be complimented for preparing a strategic approach taking into account different possible scenarios – travel-related cases, local transmission of COVID-19, large outbreaks amenable to containment, and widespread community transmission of COVID-19.
As lockdown restrictions eases, economic activities begin, domestic travel resumes in a calibrated manner and hotels, restaurants open up the only thing that can hopefully help minimize the Covid-19 spread is strict adherence to health protocols. Lockdowns or not, mask, gloves, sanitizers and social distancing are the only way to beat the virus.

Covid leaves journalists, media houses in the lurch



Covid leaves journalists, media houses in the lurch


Dr. Sanjay M Johri

Jun 10, 2020

Corona pandemic has come as a double whammy for the media industry. It has crippled the business model of print and electronic media thus affecting circulation, which in turn has led to widespread job loss. At least this is how the management is justifying the lay-offs, salary cuts and leave without pay for employees. 
However, experts believe 
that the big Daddies in the media are using the pandemic ‘as an opportune time for the media houses, which were waiting to trim the staff and remove deadwoods.’ Meanwhile, some of the journalists have accused that performance was never the criteria because there had not been a complaint against them and removal was sudden. “I am one who had raised voice along with others against management’s dictatorial attitude and was shunted out,’ a senior journalist said. 
You name a top media house and you will find from The Times Group, Hindustan Times Media Limited, the Indian Express Group, Business Standard Limited , New Indian Express and the Quintillion Media Private Limited, which runs the website The Quint to leading channels like Aaj Tak,; News Nation – the media persons either lost jobs or went in for heavy pay cuts. 
The Times of India in Kerala laid-off seven reporters (three in Thiruvananthapuram, two in Kozhikode and one each in Malappuram and Kannur respectively) and three desk editors. Ironically these employees were asked on a WhatsApp call by the HR and the Assistant Resident Editor to tender their resignations for personal reasons. The Times Group paywalled E Papers of all its English titles — The Times of India, The Economic Times and Mirror —on 15 May, 2020. The Economic Times cut jobs in Kochi, Chandigarh and Kolkata on 6 May. 
For journalists it is definitely a testing time as jobs are scarce, especially in the traditional print/electronic space, while for the media management it is equally turning to be a tipping point as they are putting their heads together to come up with a new business model that would help them survive. Shekhar Gupta, editor-in-chief and chairman, The Print, and a veteran journalist says “Big Daddies” are in trouble because of their dependence on advertisement. 
Explaining media economics through his YouTube Channel presentation Gupta further adds, ‘One should try and understand the business model as to how much these organizations depend on advertising.’ Look at the leader in the industry, The Times of India, which sells the most number of English newspapers in the world. Even after being the largest organization, its turnover is just over Rs 10,000 crore. In 2018, its profit was Rs 681 crore. This profit is minuscule compared to the market leaders in other industries. Even Havells, a fairly new electronics company, makes a larger profit than the The Times of India, and this has consequences. 
A newspaper like The Times of India has 48 pages in its metro editions like Delhi and Mumbai. The newspaper is sold for around Rs 5 and about 40 per cent is taken by distributors. The media organisation gets around Rs 2.40. Now, each page costs Rs 0.25 to print and printing 48 pages costs Rs 12. A very conservative cost of paying employees and news agencies etc is Rs 3. So if newspapers are produced at Rs 15, how are they sold at Rs 5 and how is profit still generated? The answer is ad revenue. 
Since Samir Jain of Times of India based the company’s business model on ad revenue, it has become the industry’s standard. His company became the market leader and everyone had to follow his model to survive. Newspapers are sold cheaper and cheaper, and revenue is earned from ads. The Hindu does not follow this model and has kept the newspaper price high, Gupta points out. 
The situation is equally bad for English TV news channels if not worse as most of them run in losses. They are either subsidized by Hindi channels or they are not run for profits but for some other reasons. News channels are very cheap, so they are even more dependent on ad revenue than newspapers. A channel subscription is Rs 2 or 3 a month, whereas a single newspaper costs more than that. 
Advertisers primarily use entertainment and sports channels to show their products/services and hence a very small chunk is left for news channels. Then distributors take a large share of the ad revenue. This leaves news channels small and unprofitable and they are hit very hard when businesses cut their advertising budget. 
So the question arises, who are running these channels and how they can sustain it? The answer is not so simple. Most media houses are gradually being managed by mining barons, real estate owners who either acquired a media property or diversified their business for political gains. Based on the ad revenue model when the economy is good, the flaw in it doesn’t show but when the downward spiral begins the structures start collapsing, Mr. Gupta points out. 
Speaking about the digital portals he said, “This industry is an even more extreme version of print newspapers and news channels. Here, the reader doesn’t pay anything at all. The organization is solely dependent on ads. Distributors like Facebook and Google take most of the ad revenue and a very small fraction is left for the organization. The model cannot work and companies who have adopted these will be most stressed at these times. This business model is broken.” 
Good articles have to be paid for and people in the West are realizing this. Even in India, The Hindu focuses on quality and doesn’t keep cutting their prices. In fact, Hindu has consistently raised the price of their newspaper and yet has done very well. 
So what’s the solution? Post-Covid, media houses will have to come up with a new revenue model that should be subscription based primarily in the digital space, which newspapers like Washington Post and New York Times have done way back and as a result are not facing the double whammy even though their circulation has declined during this pandemic.